Research & Publications

Research Interests

Prediction Markets, Predictive Analytics, Crowd Sourcing, Advertising

Refereed Journal Articles

Manipulation in Conditional Decision Markets. Group Decision and Negotiation. (forthcoming)

How (not) to Incent Crowd Workers - Payment Schemes and Feedback in Crowdsourcing. Business and Information Systems Engineering. (2015)

Beware of Trend Indicators: How Visual Cues Increase the Disposition Effect. Business and Information Systems Engineering (2015)

A Macroeconomic Forecasting Market. Journal of Business Economics (formerly: Zeitschrift fuer Betriebswirtschaft (ZfB)). (2015)

The Impact of customizable Market Interfaces on Trading Performance. Electronic Markets. (2014)

Web vs. Mobile - Comparing Trading Performance in Stationary and Mobile Settings. International Journal of E-Services and Mobile Applications. (2014)

Analysis of the Disposition Effect: Asymmetry and Prediction Accuracy. Journal of Prediction Markets. (2013)

Simplifying Market Access: a New Confidence-Based Interface. Journal of Prediction Markets. (2012)

Short-Selling in Prediction Markets. The Journal of Prediction Markets. (2011)


Forecasting Economic Indices: Design, Performance, and Learning in Prediction Markets. KIT Scientific Publishing (2012)

Refereed Papers in Proceedings and Collections

The Negative Effect of Feedback on Performance in Crowd Labor Tournaments. in: Nickerson, J.; Malone, T. (eds.), Collective Intelligence 2014: Proceedings. Rank 6 among the Top Ten Recent Papers on Labor Markets as listed by the Social Science Research Network (SSRN, April 9, 2014). (2014)

Market-Based Collective Intelligence in Enterprise 2.0 Decision Making. in: Nickerson, J.; Malone, T. (eds.), Collective Intelligence 2014: Proceedings. (2014)

Feedback and Performance in Crowd Work: A Real Effort Experiment. Proceedings of the 22nd European Conference on Information Systems (ECIS). (2014)

Combining Prediction Markets and Surveys: an Experimental Study. Proceedings of the 22nd European Conference on Information Systems (ECIS). (2014)

Identifying Individual Party Preferences in Political Stock Markets. in: Kommers, P.; Isaias, P. (eds.), Proceedings of the IADIS International Conference on E-Society. (Madrid, Spain). (2014)

User Heterogeneity in Trading Systems: Assessing Trader's Market Predisposition via Personality Questionnaires. Proceedings of the 2014 47th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS). (2014)

Collective Intelligence in Market-Based Social Decision Making. Proceedings of the International Conference on Information Systems (ICIS). (2013)

Crowd Labor Markets as Platform for IS Research: First Evidence from Electronic Markets. Proceedings of the International Conference on Information Systems (ICIS). (2013)

Incorporating Emotional Information in Decision Systems. Emotion Representations and Modelling for HCI Systems, Lecture Notes in Computer Science. (Sydney, Australia). (2013)

Prediction markets with experts concerned in post-market information usage: Experimental evidence on collective intelligence. 2013 ESA World Meeting. (2013)

A Competition among New Methods for Eliciting Probability Distributions. 24th Subjective Probability, Utility, and Decision Making Conference. (2013)

Decision Support Services Based on Dynamic Digital Analyses - Quality Metrics for Financial Planning Processes. SRII Global Conference. 130-138. (2012)

Identifying Experts in Virtual Forecasting Communities. Proceedings of the 18th Americas Conference on Information Systems (AMCIS). (2012)

Learning by Trading in a Macro-economic Forecasting Game. Proceedings of the 20th European Conference on Information Systems (ECIS). (2012)

Decision Behavior and Performance in Mobile Trading Applications. Lecture Notes in Informatics (LNI), MMS 2012: Mobile und Ubiquitaere Informationssysteme. (2012)

Evaluating Hidden Market Design. Auctions, Market Mechanisms, and Their Applications. (2012)

Participation, Feedback and Incentives in a Competitive Forecasting Community. Proceedings of the International Conference on Information Systems (ICIS). (2011)

Predictive Quality of the Ifo Sub-Indices: How Survey Design affects Forecasting Consistency and Accuracy. 6. Workshop Makrookonomik und Konjunktur. (ifo Dresden). (2011)

A Prediction Market for Macro-Economic Variables. Proceedings of the 2011 44th Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS). (2011)

Innovation Assessment via Enterprise Information Markets. Proceedings of the 1st International Conference on IT-enabled Innovation in Enterprise. 206-218. (2010)

AKX - An Exchange for Predicting Water Dam Levels in Australia. Proceedings of the 4th International Symposium on Information Technologies in Environmental Engineering. (Thessaloniki, Greece). 78-90. (2009)